Explaining pandemics

This is an important concept:

Transmission is dependent on the number of close personal contact, not distance traveled.

  • I can drive thousands of miles without meeting anyone.
  • I can stay put inside a mall for a day and infect a lot of people without going anywhere else.

The aim should be reducing contacts, not travel restrictions.

Studies and data:

  • Different behaviours matter
  • Contact patterns (European data from several countries)

Link to NPI? There are some here.

Page last modified on April 13, 2008, at 11:22 AM by lugon