Economic Concerns

see also Workplace Continuity

  • World Econ. Forum/Booz Allen Pandemic Flu simulation Press release and link to report

  • U.S. Congressional Budget Office report on
     A Potential Influenza Pandemic: Possible Macroeconomic Effects and Policy Issues.pdf Dec 2006

  • Lowry Institute for International Policy report on
     Global macroeconomic consequences of pandemic influenza .pdf Feb 2006

  • Supply chain risk management from AMR Research
    • H5N1 potential impact on food industry .pdf

  • International Monetary Fund
    see also IMF report page 37-39 of 60 in .pdf, index link here.

  • Canadian Manufacturers And Exporters
    • Continuity Planning Guide for Canadian Business .pdf

  • Marsh, a leading risk and insurance services firm, has been actively producing materials related to the possible pandemic; see here and here. Among that material is a white paper entitled “Avian Flu: Preparing for a Pandemic” prepared by Marsh and its sister companies Kroll and Mercer Management Consulting. In addition to background and a discussion of corporate preparedness, it includes the international implications of a pandemic, and outlines some of the potential insurance coverage issues related to pandemics.

  • In August 2005, Toronto-based brokerage firm BMO Nesbitt Burns issued a report detailing the economic impact of an influenza pandemic on global markets, suggesting it could trigger a crisis similar to that of the Great Depression. An appriaisal of the known facts for business preparedness was written in October 2005.
    • An Investor’s Guide to Avian Flu
    • Don’t Fear or Panic
    • The Avian Flu Crisis: An Economic Update

  • The World Bank has done some of the only estimations of the economic impact of a flu pandemic. They are using the number of $800 billion in global impact, as reported in November, 2005
    • The Bank has also done more detailed estimates for East Asia, including the to-date impact on the poultry and egg industries, and potential impact if it gets worse.

  • Reserve Bank, NZ crisis management plan for pandemic flu
    • news story about the report

  • Preparing for a Plague
from Human Resource Executive

  • Avian Flu: What Should Be Done Dr. Tyler Cowen is the General Director of the Mercatus Center and the Holbert C. Harris Chair of Economics at George Mason University.

  • Article by Helen Branswell, veteran influenza reporter, on financial concerns in Canada

  • Report from a local business forum in the Seattle / Tacoma area

  • Future pundit on the economics of pandemic flu

  • Can the Life Insurance Industry Survive the Avian Flu? is a report released January 17, 2006 by the Insurance Information Institute, estimating that a severe influenza pandemic could result in $133.2 billion in claims, severaly stressing the system.

  • Notes from a Deutsche Bank flu conference (pdf)

  • Presentations from a 2005 conference at the Royal United Service Insitute in the UK on the global challenges and national response

Ian Welsh’s article series

Ian Welsh’s two-part essay, The Economics of a Flu Pandemic, discusses the economic ramifications of a pandemic before, during and after the outbreak, including the managing of scarcities, the emergence of black markets, rationing and other similiar matters.

For more on the possible disruption of essential services, please visit and help us build the page on Anticipated Problems.
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Page last modified on May 15, 2006, at 07:55 PM by Will